Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 357.062915 404.235412 456.333804 518.315390 590.270656 671.439088 770.306041
2025-12-28 293.659897 357.812115 434.991057 535.426024 663.754001 823.683996 1040.361918
2026-01-04 261.243470 334.391224 427.642142 556.761170 733.308233 969.773974 1316.472919
2026-01-11 231.724094 308.208722 410.249651 558.704125 773.141668 1077.928508 1555.474320
2026-01-18 204.522490 280.657736 386.086501 545.892671 787.622375 1149.036931 1748.862409
2026-01-25 183.243685 258.367999 365.833720 534.730379 800.941866 1217.580053 1946.546822
2026-02-01 172.375780 249.537419 363.480414 549.069763 853.849039 1353.381506 2275.954461
2026-02-08 159.487813 236.179738 352.583667 548.186148 881.245300 1450.059943 2553.232157
2026-02-15 147.322198 222.641676 339.821217 542.370918 898.861884 1531.284041 2815.240811
2026-02-22 138.734976 213.844385 333.546877 546.286516 933.198109 1646.212338 3162.510044
2026-03-01 128.663461 201.730449 320.635558 537.145906 942.446562 1715.022465 3427.911056
2026-03-08 120.474435 192.002983 310.766180 532.155068 958.417704 1798.411177 3739.595967
2026-03-15 110.001655 177.786146 292.294250 510.131817 939.967197 1812.087716 3903.038422
2026-03-22 106.647340 175.474778 294.345334 526.479102 999.331835 1996.095274 4505.166045
2026-03-29 104.215595 174.524468 298.641786 547.429535 1070.674160 2217.272874 5251.785028
2026-04-05 99.295450 168.735099 293.572308 549.332941 1101.958536 2353.604602 5812.384091
2026-04-12 92.912068 159.818640 281.942710 536.769935 1100.054437 2412.160429 6175.117767
2026-04-19 87.288961 151.910534 271.602467 525.823257 1100.360028 2476.026843 6568.979660
2026-04-26 85.093141 150.238402 273.104215 539.885522 1159.766378 2696.448885 7487.940222
2026-05-03 81.354700 145.367403 267.931349 539.019017 1183.808810 2830.120532 8174.638589
2026-05-10 77.378688 139.771666 260.883083 533.316281 1195.376543 2932.583576 8788.814614
2026-05-17 74.671743 136.470515 258.219992 537.156154 1231.121302 3107.618218 9704.317432
2026-05-24 70.896320 130.813826 250.296403 528.192184 1233.102232 3187.444941 10304.158462